Leagues / Basketball

Women's National Basketball Association

15 teams · spread and total points markets

Off seasonOpen on the board →

Home win

50.0%

42 games played

Home cover

57.1%

against the closing number

Overs

0.0%

avg total 170.5

Favourites cover

54.8%

avg margin 12.9

Numbers that move

60%

1+ point from open to close

Model ROI

+0.00%

0 picks · +0.0u

Standings

sorted by record

#	Team	W-L	Win%	Diff	ATS	ATS%	O/U	Power	Trend	Form	Model
1	Dallas WingsWest	4-1	8000.0	+64	4-1	8000.0	0-0	+1570.8	▲ 0.0	LWWWW	—
2	Las Vegas AcesWest	3-1	7500.0	+38	2-2	5000.0	0-0	+1546.4	▲ 0.0	LWWW	—
3	Golden State ValkyriesWest	5-2	7140.0	+69	5-2	7140.0	0-0	+1597.1	▲ 0.0	LLWWWW	—
4	Atlanta DreamEast	5-2	7140.0	+54	4-3	5710.0	0-0	+1564.1	▲ 0.0	WWWWLW	—
5	Indiana FeverEast	4-2	6670.0	+40	3-3	5000.0	0-0	+1551.6	▲ 0.0	WWLLWW	—
6	Washington MysticsEast	4-2	6670.0	+17	3-3	5000.0	0-0	+1530.2	▲ 0.0	WLWWWL	—
7	New York LibertyEast	2-2	5000.0	+0	2-2	5000.0	0-0	+1504.0	▲ 0.0	LWLW	—
8	Minnesota LynxWest	2-2	5000.0	−1	2-2	5000.0	0-0	+1500.7	▲ 0.0	WWLL	—
9	Los Angeles SparksWest	3-3	5000.0	−20	4-2	6670.0	0-0	+1506.8	▲ 0.0	LLWLWW	—
10	Chicago SkyEast	3-3	5000.0	−36	2-4	3330.0	0-0	+1455.3	▲ 0.0	WWWLLL	—
11	Portland FireWest	2-4	3330.0	−22	2-4	3330.0	0-0	+1472.6	▲ 0.0	WLLLWL	—
12	Connecticut SunEast	2-5	2860.0	−89	2-5	2860.0	0-0	+1411.4	▲ 0.0	LLWLLL	—
13	Seattle StormWest	1-3	2500.0	−28	2-2	5000.0	0-0	+1453.4	▲ 0.0	LLWL	—
14	Phoenix MercuryWest	1-4	2000.0	+2	1-4	2000.0	0-0	+1457.8	▲ 0.0	LLLLW	—
15	Toronto TempoEast	1-6	1430.0	−88	4-3	5710.0	0-0	+1377.7	▲ 0.0	LWLLLL	—

Power ratings

vs a neutral opponent

1GSV+1597.1#3
2DAL+1570.8#1
3ATL+1564.1#4
4IND+1551.6#5
5LVA+1546.4#2
6WAS+1530.2#6
7LAS+1506.8#9
8NYL+1504.0#7
9MIN+1500.7#8
10PDX+1472.6#11
11PHO+1457.8#14
12CHI+1455.3#10
13SEA+1453.4#13
14CON+1411.4#12

The rating is the margin the model expects against a league-average opponent on a neutral field. Two teams four points apart should meet at roughly a four-point spread.

Margin of victory

how games actually finish

Where the mass sits is why key numbers matter: a spread sitting on a common margin is worth far more than half a point either side of it.

League tendencies

Home advantage2.2 points
Typical total165
Game-to-game noise±11 on the margin
Best hold on the board4.53%

On the board

5 games

Start / result	Matchup	Spread	Total	Best away	Best home	Model edge	Move	24h	Money	Hold
Thu, Sep 17
23:302d	CON @ ATLConnecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream	−14.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	CON +36	—
Fri, Sep 18
00:002d	WAS @ CHIWashington Mystics @ Chicago Sky	+3.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	CHI +28	—
00:002d	LAS @ DALLos Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings	−7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	DAL +22	—
02:002d	LVA @ SEALas Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm	+9.3	—	—	—	—	▲ 1.0LVA	—	LVA +21	—
02:002d	PHO @ PDXPhoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	PHO +15	—

Recent results

closed and graded

Game	Score	Closing spread	Covered	Total	O/U	Model side	Result
CON @ DALConnecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings	97–71	−15.5	DAL	—	—	—	no position
GSV @ PDXGolden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire	69–86	+6.5	GSV	—	—	—	no position
LAS @ SEALos Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm	74–90	+1.5	LAS	—	—	—	no position
MIN @ ATLMinnesota Lynx @ Atlanta Dream	89–81	+2.5	ATL	—	—	—	no position
TOR @ PHOToronto Tempo @ Phoenix Mercury	101–69	−8.5	PHO	—	—	—	no position
CHI @ NYLChicago Sky @ New York Liberty	85–66	−8.5	NYL	—	—	—	no position
WAS @ LASWashington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks	88–82	+5.5	LAS	—	—	—	no position
TOR @ LVAToronto Tempo @ Las Vegas Aces	93–73	−16.3	LVA	—	—	—	no position
PDX @ ATLPortland Fire @ Atlanta Dream	83–101	−12.5	PDX	—	—	—	no position
CON @ INDConnecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever	111–91	−17.5	IND	—	—	—	no position
WAS @ PHOWashington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury	73–80	+5.5	WAS	—	—	—	no position
GSV @ NYLGolden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty	60–79	−3.5	GSV	—	—	—	no position