7 leagues · 6 books · updated every 12 minutes

The betting market, instrumented.

Every book’s number side by side, how each line has moved, where the money sits against where the tickets are — and a model whose entire record, wins and losses, is open on the model page.

Next off the board

14 gamesAll 354 →
Start / resultMatchupSpreadTotalBest awayBest homeModel edgeMove24hMoneyHold
Wed, Oct 7
LIVE−1.57.5+121−134——
—
n/a2.7%
Thu, Oct 8
LIVE−1.57.1+150−170——
—
n/a3.0%
LIVE−1.7—————
—
n/a—
LIVE+1.57.5−104−108——
—
n/a2.9%
Fri, Oct 9
LIVE+1.57.1−112+100——
—
even3.3%
Sat, Oct 10
LIVE−4.5—————
24-hour line movement, GSV at LVA
n/a—
LIVE−14.149.4+460−549—▼ 6.3UVA
24-hour line movement, SYR at UVA
n/a3.9%
Sun, Oct 11
00:001m——————
—
n/a—
00:001m——————
—
n/a—
LIVE+2.549.1−139+120—▼ 2.0PUR
—
n/a3.8%
LIVE−15.549.5+550−699—▼ 1.0UTAH
—
n/a4.1%
02:301m−20.651.5+950−1500—▲ 0.5HAW
—
n/a3.8%
02:301m+8.748.5−310+275—▲ 0.8BSU
24-hour line movement, BSU at FRES
n/a4.2%
17:001m——————
—
n/a—

Model equity — units won, cumulative

0 days · +0.0uFull record →
Hit rate
0%
Units risked
0u
ATS accuracy
0%
Brier
0.000
Margin error
±0

Biggest moves

since open

Where the money is

handle vs ticketsMoney →

Top open edges

model vs marketAll →

No open edges over threshold.

Arbitrage windows

0 open

No arbitrage on the board right now.

Model P&L by league

units, season to date

    Sample size matters more than rank: a league with 40 picks can lead the table on noise alone.

    Handle by league

    share of money

      Does the crowd cover?

      by ticket share
      • 50–60%85.7%7
      • 60–70%37.5%8
      • 70–80%50.0%6
      • 80%+0.0%1

      Cover rate of the side holding the ticket majority, against the 50% line. Anything inside a point or two of even is noise, not a system.

      From the wire

      written from the same dataAll posts →